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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Coast Monitor Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Melbourne Cup weather on Tuesday 5 November is expected to be mild with a chance of a shower—check the live forecast above for the latest update. The first Tuesday in November sits in late spring, so conditions can swing from warm sunshine to cool rain.
What is the typical weather for Melbourne Cup day?
Based on decades of records, the average maximum temperature for Cup day at Flemington is around 21–23 °C. Light rain falls on roughly one in three race days. The melbourne cup weather history shows that 2022 saw 79 mm of rain, making it one of the wettest on record, while other years have been dry and sunny.
For a longer view, check the melbourne weather page, which includes a melbourne weather 21 day forecast that can help you plan ahead.
How does the weather affect the race and the crowd?
A dry track produces fast race times; a wet track can lead to slower times and more cautious riding. For racegoers, a cool change late in the afternoon is common, so bring a jacket. The flemington weather on the day also influences crowd numbers—persistent rain often reduces attendance.
If you are looking for melbourne cup weather tomorrow, the live forecast above is your best guide. For historical context, melbourne cup weather 2022 stands out as unusually wet, but most years are manageable.
Has it ever rained on Melbourne Cup day?
Yes. Rain is fairly common: about one in three Cup days receives some precipitation. The most extreme wet day was in 2022, but light drizzle occurs often. The live forecast above will tell you if rain is expected this year.
What should I wear for Melbourne Cup weather?
Layers are best: a light jacket or coat over race-day attire. Expect a temperature drop in the late afternoon. Sun protection is also wise if the day is fine. Check the live forecast above for wind and UV details.
How accurate is the long-range forecast for Cup day?
Forecasts beyond 7 days have moderate accuracy. A melbourne weather 21 day forecast can indicate a general trend, but the live forecast above, updated closer to the day, will be more reliable.